Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 64.464987 73.001337 81.766075 91.405293 101.676725 112.264727 123.974203
2025-06-22 52.108946 64.398951 77.620139 92.765742 109.508170 127.333392 147.632113
2025-06-29 43.460399 57.601156 73.373312 91.990294 113.105732 136.079871 162.742443
2025-07-06 36.019036 51.152568 68.628586 89.831501 114.432327 141.700618 173.850699
2025-07-13 33.025256 49.499332 69.033489 93.215678 121.729768 153.745276 191.899531
2025-07-20 29.885449 47.287471 68.466089 95.191733 127.180772 163.521453 207.248388
2025-07-27 26.111344 43.885019 66.137604 94.791402 129.620404 169.657507 218.293798
2025-08-03 22.688322 40.602024 63.684659 94.002184 131.400431 174.870507 228.145243
2025-08-10 20.263354 38.432884 62.462548 94.576391 134.693120 181.760261 239.867735
2025-08-17 17.667262 35.767834 60.398741 93.927883 136.364511 186.630612 249.148437
2025-08-24 15.694131 33.813729 59.133715 94.177963 139.047754 192.638535 259.716945
2025-08-31 13.536317 31.356092 57.017945 93.188897 140.080437 196.580339 267.773544
2025-09-07 12.298004 30.249108 56.735731 94.605941 144.171129 204.291602 280.427292
2025-09-14 11.207186 29.273724 56.572062 96.137487 148.386803 212.155583 293.284320
2025-09-21 9.603438 27.239693 54.746644 95.322615 149.519179 216.179321 301.474235
2025-09-28 7.852575 24.700542 52.006729 93.121995 148.755634 217.782256 306.670540
2025-10-05 7.568939 24.866645 53.345223 96.576777 155.371042 228.565256 323.051294
2025-10-12 6.997315 24.404835 53.676757 98.594006 160.086673 236.975693 336.545797
2025-10-19 5.991650 22.931160 52.339513 98.185366 161.553068 241.284311 345.000754
2025-10-26 5.026551 21.379354 50.777418 97.379759 162.436294 244.820157 352.479406
2025-11-02 4.401225 20.474569 50.206476 97.965898 165.155451 250.662776 362.796299
2025-11-09 3.653187 19.133490 48.825534 97.303912 166.146506 254.278988 370.338695
2025-11-16 3.119405 18.211384 48.093086 97.559194 168.354934 259.432913 379.782891